纺织学报 ›› 2011, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (11): 137-142.

• 管理与信息化 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于Markowitz风险和效用理论的服装供应商决策模型

季晓芬1,陈炜1,蔡丽玲2,胡觉亮1,徐蓉蓉1   

  1. 1. 浙江理工大学
    2.
  • 收稿日期:2010-12-29 修回日期:2011-06-19 出版日期:2011-11-15 发布日期:2011-11-15
  • 通讯作者: 陈炜 E-mail:362576735@qq.com
  • 基金资助:

    国家级;省级;省级

A Decision-making Model of Apparel Suppliers Based on Markowitz's Risk Theory and Utility Function

  • Received:2010-12-29 Revised:2011-06-19 Online:2011-11-15 Published:2011-11-15
  • Contact: Wei CHEN E-mail:362576735@qq.com

摘要: 由于服装供应链的复杂性和供应商特点,服装企业原料采购和成衣加工成本及风险很难准确预测,建立考虑风险的供应商优化决策模型有助于企业做出正确的供应商选择。供将服装应商分为原料供应商和成衣加工厂两类,借鉴均值-方差理论刻画供应商的期望成本和组合风险,并较为全面地设定了约束条件,构建以选择供应商成本和风险最小化为目标的优化决策模型。通过Markowitz风险价格确定模型中的风险回避系数,该方法结合了决策者效用函数,较为真实反映了决策者的风险偏好。最后通过实例分析,验证了模型的有效性。

Abstract: Due to the complexity of apparel supply chain and the characteristics of apparel suppliers, the processing costs and risks of apparel enterprises are difficult to predict accurately. So, a decision-making optimization model of apparel suppliers considering the risk may help enterprises to select the correct suppliers. The apparel suppliers could be divided to raw material suppliers and garment processing factories. Then, according to the mean-variance theory, the expected cost and portfolio risk of suppliers were described. Further more, with the complete constraints, the decision-making optimization model was established which indentified minimizing the costs and risks of suppliers as the optimized object. The risk aversion coefficient was proposed by Markowitz’s risk price theory. This method combining the utility function reflected the risk preferences of decision makers objectively. In the end, the practical examples demonstrated the effectiveness of the model.

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